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  • šŸ šŸ”“ WTF is going on with mortgage rates?

šŸ šŸ”“ WTF is going on with mortgage rates?

Plus, how AI can help real estate investors

Pocket List

Welcome to the Pocket List, investors šŸ‘‹

Letā€™s make some money today, shall we?

First, letā€™s check in on mortgage ratesā€¦

Rates as of 8/7/24 (vs. 7/31/24) // Source: Mortgage News Daily

The 411 on ratesā€¦ Do you smell that? Itā€™s the sweet, sweet aroma of rates being in the mid-6s. You can check out all the details belowā€¦

1

THE LEAD

WTF is happening to mortgage rates?

Source: Giphy

If youā€™re reading this, it means you survived the market meltdown earlier this week.

ICYMI, late last week we got a handful of concerning economic data points (including a brutal jobs report). On top of all that, the Fed decided against cutting rates last Wednesday.

By Monday fears of recession were spreading quicker than the stank at a hoarderā€™s apartment. Markets tanked around the world and Treasury rates plummeted.

Ok, so what does it all mean?

Well, for startersā€¦ avoid looking at your retirement account.

But on the bright sideā€¦ mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest level since April 2023 as the likelihood of a 0.5% Fed rate cut in September increased and the 10-year yield fell. You read that right, mortgage rates just hit a 16-month low.

It's hard to tell if thereā€™s more where that came from. But any hints that the Fed is likely to get even more aggressive could put further downward pressure on the 10-year, and, therefore, mortgage rates.

šŸ’­ Mr. Pocket Listing saysā€¦ Before we get too excited about mortgage rates going back down to the 3s, itā€™s probably good to remember that they arenā€™t technically linked to the Federal Fund Rate. So when the Fed actually cuts rates next month, mortgage rates probably wonā€™t move.

They more closely follow the 10-year Treasury, which, of course, is reactionary to market pressures.

That means economic data and news that impact the Fedā€™s decision will have a bigger impact on mortgage rates than actual changes by J-Poww and the Fed. Think: more bad economic data indicates that the Fed needs to get more aggressive with rate cuts to stave off a recession.

WHAT ELSE?

More industry headlines Iā€™m keeping an eye onā€¦

  • The financial markets are freaking out. That should be good for mortgages (Read)

  • Where home buyers pay the highest and lowest broker fees in the U.S. (Read)

  • US Home Prices Increased 4.7% Year-over-year in June as "Prices Cool" (Read)

  • Meet the ā€˜Squatter Hunterā€™ ā€” Flash Sheltonā€™s wild ride evicting illegal occupants (Read)

  • Home valuations are rising faster than incomes. Hereā€™s why that could hurt homeownersā€™ wallets (Read)

  • Housing market ā€˜will see a lot of refinancingā€™ as mortgage rates drop, says Mr. Cooper Group CEO (Read)

  • Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year (Read)

  • Renter Population Grows Three Times Faster Than Homeowner Population (Read)

DIY

Letā€™s get tacticalā€¦

  • 5 Key Steps For Running a Successful Rental Business (Read)

  • How to deal with fear about buying something? (Read)

  • Avoid Costly Repairs: Donā€™t Ignore the Red Flags in a Property Inspection (Read)

  • Historic changes are coming to home buying in August. Hereā€™s what you need to know. (Read)

  • I Inherited a House: 5 Ugly Financial Truths Nobody Tells You About (Read)

  • At what point do I jump into real estate investing? (Read)

  • Investment property loans: How they work and where to find them (Read)

  • Homeowners are flocking to HELOCs. Watch out for these pitfalls. (Read)

  • Data, Artificial Intelligence (AI), and Machine-Learning Are the Cornerstones of Prosperous Real Estate Portfolios (Read)

  • Iā€™m a Self-Made Millionaire: Hereā€™s Why I Rent and Donā€™t Buy My Home (Read)

2
Hot Local

Mr. Pocket Listingā€™s favorite property of the week (a guy can dream, canā€™t he?)ā€¦

The $65M Hitchcock Estate

  • Located in Millbrook, NY

  • 2,078 acres (not square feetā€¦)

  • On the market for the first time since 1963

  • Asking $65M

  • Watch the video tour Ā»

3

PROPERTY TOUR

Itā€™s time to get a pulse on markets around the countryā€¦

(1) Price Cuts on Homes Reach a 2-Year High: 3 Cities With the Biggest Number of Drops (Read)

(2) Stock Market Turbulence Could Trip Up Home Salesā€”and These Cities Could Get Hit First (Read)

(3) Top 10 U.S. Housing Markets with the Largest Annual Increase in Equity-Rich Properties in Q2 2024 (Read)

(4) 10 Cities Where Your ā€˜Dream Homeā€™ Is Affordable, According to Zillow (Read)

THE POCKET LISTING

šŸ”“ Lakeland, FL

4 bd // 2 ba // 1,344 sq ft

Are you interested in this pocket listing?

Not local for you? Consider sending it to a friend in the biz or sharing in a RE investor group.

SURVEYING

Last week, I asked, ā€œDo you think the NAR settlement will be a net positive OR a net negative for real estate investors?ā€

Negative won with 53% of the vote.

Hereā€™s todayā€™s questionā€¦

We havenā€™t done this in a bit, soā€¦

Reply to this email and say ā€œLIST.ā€ This tells the email gods that weā€™re actually friends and helps me land in your inbox.

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